TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
The Amundi Evian Championship is a major professional women's golf tournament held in France. This market tracks who holds the lead after the third round of competition. If multiple golfers are tied for the best score, payouts are split equally among them.
The market resolves based on which participant holds the lead at the end of Round 3 of the 2026 The Amundi Evian Championship. Each rule identifies a specific golfer; if that golfer is the sole leader or tied for the lead, their corresponding market resolves to Yes. When multiple participants tie for the lead, Yes payouts are divided equally among the tied participants' markets, with each receiving $1/N rounded down to the nearest cent, while No positions receive the remainder.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced dynamically by traders responding to new information in real time. This market's odds may move more rapidly than sportsbook lines during tournament play, offering traders opportunities to capitalize on inefficiencies between the two venues as player performance unfolds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of market participants about who will lead after Round 3, with prices ranging from near zero to near 100 cents per share. As new tournament data arrives—such as scores, weather changes, or player withdrawals—traders adjust their bids and offers, causing prices to shift instantaneously to reflect updated probabilities.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the third round of the Amundi Evian Championship concludes and the leaderboard is finalized. The outcome is determined by identifying the player or players holding the lead at the end of Round 3, verified against credible public sources covering the tournament. Traders should monitor official tournament communications and reputable golf media to track standings as the event progresses toward resolution.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before it resolves. Strong or poor performances by top contenders during Rounds 1 and 2 will influence expectations about who leads after Round 3. Weather conditions, course setup changes, and injury updates can alter player form and betting sentiment. Media coverage highlighting momentum shifts, expert analysis, and real-time leaderboard updates will drive trader activity. Additionally, any withdrawals or rule violations affecting key competitors could trigger significant repricing across the market.