TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 8, 2026
Closed: Jun 8, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to how much "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (June 4 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader consensus and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and studio projections. While analysts may rely on historical franchise performance, marketing spend, and competitive landscape, prediction markets incorporate live sentiment from participants with direct financial stakes. The Polymarket odds for The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act opening weekend can serve as a counterpoint to published box office predictions from industry analysts, offering an alternative gauge of crowd-sourced expectations as release day nears.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act opening weekend box office outcomes are priced on Polymarket as binary or multi-outcome contracts reflecting trader belief in specific box office thresholds or rankings. Each outcome contract trades between 0 and 1, with the price representing the implied probability. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overvalued. Polymarket's order-book model allows continuous price discovery, and the current market price reflects the marginal trader's assessment of opening weekend performance likelihood.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the opening weekend box office period concludes and official figures are reported. Resolution hinges on verified box office data for The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act during its opening weekend window. Traders should monitor official studio announcements and industry tracking sources as the resolution date approaches to understand which data source will be used to settle the market. The exact outcome determination criteria are specified in the market terms on Polymarket.
Key catalysts include trailer releases, critical reviews, social media buzz, and competitor release schedules that may shift audience demand. Marketing campaign intensity and celebrity appearances can influence opening weekend expectations. Real-world factors such as theater availability, holiday timing, and broader entertainment trends affect box office projections. Industry tracking updates and early preview screenings often trigger repricing on Polymarket. Additionally, unexpected news about the film's production, cast, or franchise sentiment can cause rapid odds movements as traders reassess opening weekend performance likelihood.
