TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ariana Grande's song thank u, next will accumulate more than 38,751,210 streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate worldwide streaming data for that specific week, with settlement expected by June 1, 2026. The outcome hinges on streaming performance during the May 22–28 tracking period, which will serve as the definitive measure for this market.
On Kalshi, the thank u, next streams up this week market is priced as a binary contract: Will thank u, next by Ariana Grande have above 38,751,210 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at odds reflecting the probability of exceeding that stream threshold. The current market price reflects aggregated trader conviction about Ariana Grande's streaming performance during that specific week, with prices adjusting in real time as new streaming data and market activity flow in.
The thank u, next streams up this week market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for the May 22–28 tracking period. The market will settle based on whether Ariana Grande's thank u, next album reaches or exceeds the 38,751,210 stream threshold during that window. Final stream counts from Luminate will be the authoritative source for determining whether the YES or NO outcome occurs.
Several factors could shift odds for this market. New music releases or promotional announcements from Ariana Grande could drive streaming volume up or down. Chart performance, playlist placements on major platforms, and social media momentum all influence streaming velocity. Real-time Luminate data releases during the May 22–28 window will directly impact trader positioning as the actual stream count becomes clearer. Competitive releases from other artists that week could also affect listener attention and streaming distribution for thank u, next.