TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 47,467,185
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 47,467,185 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 20, 2026
Closed: Jun 20, 2:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether the album thank u, next achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the June 12-18 tracking week. Worldwide streaming data from all major platforms will be aggregated and measured by Luminate Data, with results published within approximately 48 hours after the week ends.
Kalshi
If thank u, next has above 47,467,185 Worldwide Streams during the June 12 - June 18, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader consensus and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate live, distributed information from participants with direct financial stakes. While analysts may publish scheduled predictions based on public statements or historical patterns, this market aggregates the collective judgment of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. The odds here tend to update faster than formal forecasts when new signals emerge, making them a complementary data source for assessing the likelihood of streaming events this week.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks on outcome contracts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and pending orders, updating in real time as new trades execute. Higher prices indicate stronger trader conviction that streams will happen; lower prices suggest skepticism. You can enter limit or market orders to buy or sell at your preferred odds, and the platform matches orders automatically.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the predicted streams actually occur within the specified timeframe. Once the resolution date passes and sufficient evidence is available, the market will settle based on what transpired, and traders' positions will be finalized according to the outcome.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include official announcements from the artist's social media or management about streaming plans, changes to her public schedule, platform updates from streaming services, or unexpected cancellations. Fan activity and social media buzz can also influence trader sentiment. News coverage of her recent projects or touring schedule may prompt reassessment of availability. Any credible reporting about confirmed or postponed streams will likely trigger immediate price movement as traders react to new information.
