TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Entertainment
Thank Me Later streams up this week?
kalshi

Thank Me Later streams up this week?

Volume:
$0

Target Streams: 26,216,057

 - Kalshi

Target Streams: 26,216,057 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 4:03 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Target Streams: 26,216,057

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

A music album receives streaming activity measured during a specific week in June.

Kalshi

If Thank Me Later has above 26,216,057 Worldwide Streams during the June 05 - June 11, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction about Drake's Thank Me Later stream count during June 5–11. Unlike analyst forecasts, which rely on subjective estimates and historical patterns, market prices aggregate live information from participants with financial incentive to be accurate. Comparing Kalshi odds to music industry analyst projections or Luminate trend reports can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than expert consensus. Significant divergence may signal new data or shifting listener behavior that analysts have not yet incorporated.

On Kalshi, the Thank Me Later market is priced as a binary contract: Will Thank Me Later by Drake have above 26,216,057 streams on Luminate from June 5–11? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract trades between 0 and 100, where the current price reflects trader belief in the probability of exceeding that stream threshold. As new streaming data emerges and the June 5–11 window approaches, the price adjusts to reflect updated expectations. Traders buy at lower prices if they expect the outcome to occur, and sell at higher prices if they doubt it.

The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate stream count data for Thank Me Later by Drake during the June 5–11 period. The contract settles based on whether the final verified stream total exceeds or falls short of 26,216,057. Traders should monitor Luminate's public reporting and any official announcements from the platform or Kalshi regarding data sources and settlement timing to understand when final results will be confirmed.

Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Drake promotional activity, playlist placements on major streaming services, and social media momentum can drive listener engagement during the June 5–11 window. Chart performance, radio airplay, and music video releases may amplify streams. Competitor releases or broader music industry trends could redirect listener attention. Real-time streaming data leaks or early Luminate reports may also influence trader positioning. Additionally, broader market sentiment about Drake's recent releases and fan engagement levels will shape expectations as the tracking period unfolds.