TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 4:03 AM EST
Kalshi
A music album receives streaming activity measured during a specific week in June.
If Thank Me Later has above 26,216,057 Worldwide Streams during the June 05 - June 11, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the Thank Me Later market is priced as a binary contract: Will Thank Me Later by Drake have above 26,216,057 streams on Luminate from June 5–11? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract trades between 0 and 100, where the current price reflects trader belief in the probability of exceeding that stream threshold. As new streaming data emerges and the June 5–11 window approaches, the price adjusts to reflect updated expectations. Traders buy at lower prices if they expect the outcome to occur, and sell at higher prices if they doubt it.
The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate stream count data for Thank Me Later by Drake during the June 5–11 period. The contract settles based on whether the final verified stream total exceeds or falls short of 26,216,057. Traders should monitor Luminate's public reporting and any official announcements from the platform or Kalshi regarding data sources and settlement timing to understand when final results will be confirmed.
Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Drake promotional activity, playlist placements on major streaming services, and social media momentum can drive listener engagement during the June 5–11 window. Chart performance, radio airplay, and music video releases may amplify streams. Competitor releases or broader music industry trends could redirect listener attention. Real-time streaming data leaks or early Luminate reports may also influence trader positioning. Additionally, broader market sentiment about Drake's recent releases and fan engagement levels will shape expectations as the tracking period unfolds.