TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The Texas vs Tennessee college football game will feature both teams competing to accumulate receiving yards through passes from their quarterbacks to wide receivers and tight ends.
Multiple markets evaluate Tennessee's and Texas's receiving yards thresholds (125+ to 325+). Each market resolves if the respective team achieves its specified yardage total. Receiving yards include those from any pass caught during regulation or overtime, excluding yards from successful two-point conversions. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open; otherwise, they resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to attract balanced action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could signal a potential trading opportunity or highlight differing expectations for the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of the actual total receiving yards falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The more a particular yardage range is traded, the more liquid and reliable the price becomes, indicating stronger market consensus.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage totals for both teams in the Texas vs Tennessee game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics released by the NCAA will serve as the source of truth. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as late-game developments could significantly impact the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Texas or Tennessee would likely cause significant price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing game and, therefore, receiving yards. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the game is crucial for informed trading in this market.