TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Texas will win their game against Tennessee by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 73.0% probability to Texas winning by over 2.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Texas vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on September 26, 2026, as the final score will determine whether Texas exceeds the required point differential to resolve this market to ‘Yes’.
The markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Texas vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For Texas markets, resolution occurs if Texas wins by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 20.5 points). For Tennessee markets, resolution occurs if Tennessee wins by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 17.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders expressing their genuine beliefs about the outcome. You may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. It's important to remember that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and user bases, leading to these variations.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Texas vs Tennessee game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official result, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to the game. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift traders' expectations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would likely cause substantial price adjustments. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trading decisions rather than external opinions. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.