TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Texas vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026, or if no touchdown is scored. All touchdowns—including those by offensive, defensive, or special teams units—count toward the outcome, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets resolve to 'Yes' for the respective team if they score the first touchdown, or to 'Yes' for the 'No team scores a TD' market if neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or breaking news related to team injuries or strategy adjustments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating and adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scored the first touchdown in the Texas vs Tennessee game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Texas or Tennessee would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s offensive style, could also move the market. Pre-game reports on coaching strategies or potential lineup changes might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public statements from players or coaches could influence perceptions and drive trading activity in this market.