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$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Texas vs Tennessee: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Texas vs Tennessee?

Volume:
$80,124

Tennessee wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Tennessee wins 3Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 2:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tennessee wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,311
N/A
N/A
$8,067
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tennessee wins 3Q by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,276
N/A
N/A
$4,809
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,090
N/A
N/A
$22,776
Settled
No
kalshi

Tennessee wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,860
N/A
N/A
$8,728
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,439
N/A
N/A
$2,823
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins 3Q by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,076
N/A
N/A
$2,521
Settled
No
kalshi

Tennessee wins 3Q by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,849
N/A
N/A
$1,801
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins 3Q by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,732
N/A
N/A
$1,691
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins 3Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,054
N/A
N/A
$1,053
Settled
No
kalshi

Tennessee wins 3Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Texas or Tennessee specifically during the third quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point differential between Texas and Tennessee exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets specifying Texas winning by a certain margin, the outcome is Yes only if Texas outscores Tennessee by more than the stated threshold in that quarter alone. Conversely, markets specifying Tennessee winning by a certain margin resolve to Yes only if Tennessee outscores Texas by more than the stated threshold in the third quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, disregarding any points from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Texas vs Tennessee spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how the market has moved over time. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $80,065, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $80,124. This provides insight into the level of interest and activity surrounding the event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the price adjusts based on the collective belief of participants. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can sometimes prove more accurate as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives, potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks miss.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread achieved in the third quarter of the Texas vs Tennessee game will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to view the official outcome and claim any winnings associated with their successful predictions after the resolution date.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market’s perception of the likely spread, leading to price adjustments as traders react to the new information.