TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Texas or Tennessee specifically during the third quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Texas and Tennessee exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets specifying Texas winning by a certain margin, the outcome is Yes only if Texas outscores Tennessee by more than the stated threshold in that quarter alone. Conversely, markets specifying Tennessee winning by a certain margin resolve to Yes only if Tennessee outscores Texas by more than the stated threshold in the third quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, disregarding any points from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the price adjusts based on the collective belief of participants. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can sometimes prove more accurate as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives, potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks miss.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread achieved in the third quarter of the Texas vs Tennessee game will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to view the official outcome and claim any winnings associated with their successful predictions after the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market’s perception of the likely spread, leading to price adjustments as traders react to the new information.