TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Texas or Tennessee specifically within the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential by which either Texas or Tennessee wins the second quarter of the college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold that the winning team must exceed for the contract to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover a range of thresholds from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points for both teams, allowing for varied predictions of dominance in that specific quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders, as the market adjusts to new data and perspectives. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can be a useful exercise for evaluating potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Texas vs Tennessee spread. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual second quarter spread of the Texas vs Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. The market’s resolution is based on the official game results and is not subject to subjective interpretation.
Several signals could influence the Texas vs Tennessee spread market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected developments leading up to kickoff will be closely watched by traders.