TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either Texas or Tennessee wins the second half of their college football game. Each outcome represents a different point margin threshold that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half of play, including any overtime periods. For Texas markets, resolution occurs if Texas holds a margin exceeding the specified threshold at the end of the second half. For Tennessee markets, resolution requires Tennessee's margin to surpass its threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, determined independently for each outcome based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or potentially reveal information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. It’s a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second half of the Texas vs Tennessee game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Sep 26, 2026.