TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Texas vs. Oklahoma
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Texas vs. Oklahoma?

Total volume:
$3,260,528
Volume 24h:
$3,213,894
12,267%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$226,400
89%

Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown

 - Polymarket

Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 10, 2026

Texas vs. Oklahoma: Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Oklahoma O/U 1.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 42.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$136,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 20.5 points

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115,503
N/A
N/A
$70,761
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 23.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$74,490
N/A
N/A
$28,307
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 19.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,961
N/A
N/A
$25,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 16.5 points

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,651
N/A
N/A
$18,658
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 38.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 40.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 48.5

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 13.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,997
N/A
N/A
$4,825
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -4.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 points

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,399
N/A
N/A
$2,399
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 36.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,914
N/A
N/A
$1,850
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,497
N/A
N/A
$1,331
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oklahoma O/U 16.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oklahoma O/U 13.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
56.9¢
N/A
$1,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 30.5

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 44.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -9.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Texas O/U 23.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 50.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q O/U 13.5

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94.9¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 233

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a kickoff or punt return touchdown occurring in the Texas vs. Oklahoma college football game, alongside the over/under on Oklahoma’s total touchdowns. Currently, the consensus probability of a kickoff or punt return touchdown is 100.0%, and Oklahoma exceeding 1.5 total touchdowns is also at 100.0%. These probabilities are aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, and the market will resolve based on the final game score as reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the outcome will be determined by the events of October 10, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market scope and resolution criteria between Polymarket (full game, various outcomes) and Kalshi (first-half scoring only).Hero tip: Carefully review the specific question and description for each market before trading. Polymarket markets are tied to the overall game result, while Kalshi markets are limited to first-half performance.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a comprehensive set of markets covering the entire game, including win/loss, point spreads, and total scores. Resolution is based on the final game results, including overtime. "This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. Overtime is included if played."
  • Kalshi: Focuses exclusively on first-half point totals. Markets resolve based on whether the combined score exceeds a specified threshold within the first half. "If the teams collectively score more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the Texas vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Oklahoma, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Texas vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's significant information asymmetry. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often easier for the casual fan to understand. Both offer valuable perspectives on the likely outcome of the game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi on the Red River Rivalry market can occur due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk assessments, which influence price formation. Different levels of liquidity on each platform also contribute to price variations. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform may focus on different aspects of the game, leading to differing predictions. These factors combine to create potentially distinct pricing signals across Polymarket and Kalshi for this event.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Texas vs. Oklahoma game will determine the result. Traders are betting on the final result of the game, and the market will settle based on official game statistics. The outcome will be determined by the official results reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game is played. Major injuries to key players on either team would likely shift the odds. Unexpected coaching changes or significant news regarding team morale could also influence trading activity. Public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can also play a role, as can late-breaking weather forecasts. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely cause movement in the market.