TOTAL VOLUME:

$146.7b

24H VOL:

$162,970,420

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,781,800,361

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,740,912,349

501,518

Markets across

37,286

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,933

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Texas vs Oklahoma
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What is the result of Texas vs Oklahoma?

Volume:
$29,201,850

Oklahoma

 - Kalshi

Oklahoma - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 7:33 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oklahoma

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,602,660
N/A
N/A
$5,888,507
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas

0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,599,189
N/A
N/A
$7,933,479
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Texas or Oklahoma will win the college football game between the two schools. Currently, Kalshi gives Texas a 67.0% probability of winning, while Oklahoma is at 33.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Texas vs Oklahoma game, as determined by the official result if the game proceeds as scheduled. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Oklahoma wins the Texas vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Texas vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Oklahoma wins, the Oklahoma market resolves to Yes; if Texas wins, the Texas market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Red River Rivalry market tracks the current odds of each potential outcome, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $27,171,207, and the total volume traded to date, totaling $29,201,850. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each team winning this historic college football game. The dashboard is designed to give you a clear understanding of market sentiment.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a team's chances, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets tend to incorporate information and analysis more efficiently. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Texas versus Oklahoma football game, as determined by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which team is declared the winner based on the final score. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in the market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.

Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Unexpected injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Major coaching announcements or changes in team strategy could also impact market sentiment. Additionally, any significant news regarding team morale, player suspensions, or weather forecasts could all contribute to price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls and media coverage, can also play a role, though the market’s focus remains on informed trading and capital allocation.