TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The event concerns a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. It will be determined whether the game extends beyond its standard duration into additional periods of play. The focus is on whether the contest requires extra time to conclude.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Texas vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of extra innings in the Texas vs Minnesota game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price points, indicates the liquidity and potential price impact of larger trades. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether extra innings are played in the Texas vs Minnesota game. Official game results will be used to determine if extra innings occurred, and this information will be used to settle the contracts traded on Kalshi. The outcome is determined by the official game record, not by any subjective interpretation or individual assessment of the game’s events.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding potential starting pitchers, injuries to key players on either the Texas or Minnesota teams, or even weather forecasts predicting a potential game delay or postponement could all cause shifts in the odds. Late-breaking news about team strategies or changes in player lineups could also influence trader behavior. Furthermore, as the game day approaches, increased media coverage and public discussion surrounding the matchup could drive more volume and volatility in this market. Any unexpected developments leading up to, or during, the game have the potential to move the market.