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$113,466,932

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402,751

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30,217

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Texas vs Minnesota
kalshi

Who will win Texas vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$2,106,403

Texas

 - Kalshi

Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 9:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,012,635
N/A
N/A
$534,316
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,093,768
N/A
N/A
$456,075
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Texas or Minnesota will win their professional baseball game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Currently, the probability of Texas winning on Kalshi is 94.0%, while Minnesota winning is at 7.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Texas vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. Keep a close eye on the game’s status as the resolution date of September 26, 2026 approaches, as that is when the outcome will be determined.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Texas vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026, at 4:10 PM EDT. If Texas wins, the Texas market resolves to Yes, and the Minnesota market resolves to No. Conversely, if Minnesota wins, the Minnesota market resolves to Yes, and the Texas market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed but rescheduled to occur within two days of the original date, the market remains open and resolves after the completion of the rescheduled game. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the likelihood of each outcome based on available information at the time of resolution. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Texas vs Minnesota game tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $2,093,542, and the total volume traded on this market is $2,106,403. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time with the price chart. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on this specific contest, offering insight into market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market is driven by a larger, more decentralized group. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, as traders attempt to capitalize on mispricings between the two types of markets.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving traders insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Texas vs Minnesota game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Resolution will occur after the conclusion of the game and verification of the final score. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas or Minnesota team would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, coaching decisions, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or betting trends, could also cause the market to move as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.