TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional baseball teams compete in a game scheduled for June 11, 2026, with various outcomes possible based on the combined total runs scored throughout the full game.
Resolution is determined by the total runs scored by both Texas and Kansas City combined in the game originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. Each strike represents a specific run threshold, with resolution to Yes if the combined total exceeds that threshold. The game is the official MLB matchup between these teams on the specified date and time.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a different participant base and incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate belief from traders risking real capital. For the Texas vs Kansas City total runs, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook totals can reveal whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish on run scoring than oddsmakers. Analysts often use this gap to identify potential value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, the Texas vs Kansas City: Total Runs market is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the combined run total will fall above or below a specified threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the implied probability derived from the current bid-ask spread. Kalshi's order-matching engine updates prices in real time as new trades execute. The market remains active until resolution at Jun 11, 2026, allowing continuous repricing as game conditions and information evolve.
The Texas vs Kansas City: Total Runs market resolves at Jun 11, 2026, following the conclusion of the game. Resolution is determined by the official final run total recorded for both teams combined. Once the game ends and the official score is confirmed, the market settles based on whether the actual total meets or exceeds the threshold specified in the contract terms. Traders should monitor the game schedule and any official league announcements to ensure they understand the exact resolution criteria.
Several factors can shift the Texas vs Kansas City total-runs market before Jun 11, 2026. Lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates to key hitters will influence run-scoring expectations. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and can boost or suppress scoring. Recent offensive form, bullpen health, and head-to-head matchup history also drive repricing. Breaking news about roster changes or weather delays will likely trigger sharp trading activity as the market recalibrates its probability around the threshold.