TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional baseball teams compete in a game scheduled for June 11, 2026, with the outcome determined by which team leads or if they are tied after five innings.
Resolution is determined by the score after the first five innings of the game originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. Texas and Kansas City strikes resolve to Yes if their respective team leads after five innings. If the score is tied after five innings, the Tie strike resolves to Yes and all team strikes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed closing lines. Sportsbooks adjust for sharp action and liability management, while prediction markets aggregate continuous belief updates from many participants. For the Texas vs Kansas City first-five matchup, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbook offerings can reveal where the crowd sees edge, though prediction markets typically tighten closer to game time as information converges.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Texas vs Kansas City first-five contract is priced as a binary outcome reflecting whether a specific condition occurs during the opening five innings. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the midpoint representing the crowd's estimated probability. Kalshi's order book shows real-time bids and asks, allowing you to enter limit orders or take liquidity at current market rates. Prices adjust continuously as new information and trading flow arrive.
The Texas vs Kansas City: First 5 Innings market resolves at Jun 11, 2026, which corresponds to the completion of the fifth inning of the game. Resolution is determined by the official result of play during that specific inning window. Once the fifth inning concludes and the outcome is confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their position and the final result.
Key catalysts for price movement include starting pitcher announcements, last-minute lineup changes, weather conditions at game time, and early-inning scoring. Injury reports or bullpen availability updates can shift expectations for run production in the first five frames. Live game action—such as early runs, defensive plays, or pitcher performance—will drive rapid repricing as traders update their models. Pre-game betting patterns and sharp money flow on Kalshi often signal informed positioning ahead of first pitch.