TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks individual team run totals for Texas and Boston in their professional baseball game on June 13, 2026. Bettors predict whether each team will score above specified run thresholds independently.
Resolution is based on the final run totals scored by each team individually in the Texas vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. Boston's run total thresholds range from 1.5 to 7.5 runs, while Texas's thresholds range from 1.5 to 7.5 runs. Each market resolves Yes if the respective team's final score exceeds its specified threshold. The official final score as recorded by Major League Baseball determines the outcome for each team independently.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or if one venue attracts sharper action. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and moves dynamically as new information, injury reports, or betting patterns shift trader sentiment. Liquidity and order depth influence how quickly prices adjust, so monitoring the order book helps you understand the strength of conviction behind current levels.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, after the Texas and Boston game concludes. The outcome is determined by the combined final score of both teams, verified against credible public sources once the event is official. Resolution occurs once the final result is confirmed and the platform processes the settlement. Traders should monitor for any official score corrections or league rulings that might affect the final tally in the hours immediately following the game.
Key injury announcements, roster changes, or late-breaking lineup decisions can shift this market significantly, as they alter each team's offensive firepower and defensive capability. Weather conditions at game time—wind, temperature, and precipitation—often influence scoring pace and total points. Betting action itself can move odds if sharp money flows in one direction, signaling informed traders' views on the matchup. Pregame momentum, recent team performance trends, and any last-minute coaching adjustments also tend to trigger repricing as traders update their models closer to kickoff.