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402,751

Markets across

30,217

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Texas State vs. Texas
kalshi
polymarket

Texas State vs. Texas

Volume:
$2,904,939

Texas

 - Kalshi

Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 6:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$570,587
N/A
N/A
$502,435
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -29.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 60.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -27.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5,044
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -24.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$4,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread: Texas (-30.5)

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 58.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -31.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Texas O/U 44.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -16.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -34.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 62.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q Spread -7.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 46.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 44.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -17.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 52.5

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,182,252
N/A
N/A
$1,897,637
Settled
No
polymarket

Texas State vs. Texas

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 132

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Raleek Brown scoring an anytime touchdown in the Texas State versus Texas college football game. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. This prediction market draws resolution from data reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 5, 2026, as the final result will determine whether Raleek Brown finds the endzone.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in settlement logic between platforms - Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No market while Polymarket uses team-specific outcomes and includes tie/cancellation handlingHero tip: Be cautious with arbitrage opportunities as Kalshi will resolve to Yes for any win while Polymarket requires specific team outcomes. Watch for game cancellations or ties which resolve differently across platforms

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Texas wins OR if Texas State wins the game
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Texas State if Texas State wins, Texas if Texas wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations, with additional spread and over/under markets
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State". If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official winner of the Texas St. vs Texas college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Texas State vs. Texas matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $2,904,939, and 24-hour volume at $2,387,457. It provides a consensus view of how traders across platforms price this contest, highlighting any notable shifts in sentiment as the game approaches.