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Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (W)

Volume:
$384

Louisiana-Monroe

 - Kalshi

Louisiana-Monroe - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Louisiana-Monroe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
polymarket

Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Texas State Bobcats and Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Texas St. win and Louisiana-Monroe win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket correctly implements a binary winner-take-all structure.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The Polymarket binary is the only logically sound market. Request Kalshi to confirm whether Louisiana-Monroe victory should resolve to No, or whether this is a data integrity error requiring market cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. Texas State Bobcats win resolves to Texas State Bobcats. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks win resolves to Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Key Quote: If the Texas State Bobcats win, the market will resolve to Texas State Bobcats.
  • Kalshi: Logically contradictory Yes/Yes structure. Both Texas St. win and Louisiana-Monroe win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible tautology. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: If Texas St. wins...then resolves to Yes. If Louisiana-Monroe wins...then resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.