TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (W)
Volume:
$384
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Texas State Bobcats and Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Texas St. win and Louisiana-Monroe win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket correctly implements a binary winner-take-all structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The Polymarket binary is the only logically sound market. Request Kalshi to confirm whether Louisiana-Monroe victory should resolve to No, or whether this is a data integrity error requiring market cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. Texas State Bobcats win resolves to Texas State Bobcats. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks win resolves to Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Key Quote: If the Texas State Bobcats win, the market will resolve to Texas State Bobcats.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory Yes/Yes structure. Both Texas St. win and Louisiana-Monroe win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible tautology. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: If Texas St. wins...then resolves to Yes. If Louisiana-Monroe wins...then resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.