TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (W)
Volume:
$40,130
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Texas State Bobcats and Arkansas State Red Wolves scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Texas St. win and Arkansas St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path for a No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity issue. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether the second condition should resolve to No, or if the market description is incomplete. Do not trade the Kalshi contract until the contradiction is resolved. Polymarket's market is logically sound and can be traded with confidence pending game completion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Bobcats win resolves to Texas State Bobcats; Red Wolves win resolves to Arkansas State Red Wolves. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: both Texas St. win and Arkansas St. win are stated to resolve to Yes. No resolution path to No is provided. Market structure is incomplete or contains a drafting error that makes it unresolvable as currently written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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