TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in making field goals during a college football matchup. Bettors can speculate on whether each team will achieve specific thresholds of successful field goal attempts throughout the game, including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the total number of successful field goals made by each team during the Texas St. vs Texas college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. All markets consider field goals made during regular play and overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+ made field goals) for each team, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of an event. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Polls and analysts’ predictions also provide a point of comparison, but this market offers a unique, real-money incentive for accurate forecasting, potentially leading to more informed probabilities than those found elsewhere.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence and disagreement among participants regarding the total field goals in this college football game. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of total field goals scored by both teams in the Texas St. vs Texas game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also drive price movements. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, will likely cause rapid fluctuations in the market as traders react to the unfolding events and reassess the probabilities.