TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Texas State and Texas. Outcomes depend solely on which team scores more points during that specific quarter, with varying thresholds for point margins across different markets.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Texas State vs Texas college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that determines a 'Yes' outcome: if Texas wins the third quarter by more than the stated margin, the corresponding Texas-win markets resolve to 'Yes'; if Texas State wins by more than the stated margin, the corresponding Texas State-win markets resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result of that quarter. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to game time.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the third quarter of the Texas vs Texas St. game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could lead to price adjustments. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market represents independent predictions rather than simply mirroring those opinions.