TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Texas State and Texas. Outcomes depend on whether Texas or Texas State achieves specific scoring margins within the initial 15 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Texas State vs Texas college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If Texas wins the first quarter by exceeding the specified point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points—the corresponding 'Texas wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Texas State secures a first-quarter lead exceeding thresholds from 2.5 to 10.5 points, the relevant 'Texas State wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original kickoff time, all markets remain active and resolve per the actual first-quarter result. If play does not begin within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty of unplayed conditions. Only first-quarter scoring impacts resolution; later quarters are irrelevant. The markets are independent of NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals betting with their own money. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders react to news and adjust their positions. Comparing the two can provide a broader understanding of expected outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first quarter spread in the Texas vs Texas St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas or Texas St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and drive price changes.