A college basketball game between Texas Southern Tigers and Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds (-11.5, -12.5, -13.5), and total points over/under at multiple lines (143.5, 144.5, 145.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Texas Southern win OR Mississippi Valley State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Trade only the Polymarket moneyline and the spread/total markets on either platform. Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies whether it should resolve Yes/No based on a specific team, or if the market structure itself is erroneous.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to the name of the winning team (Tigers or Delta Devils). Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-11.5 requires 12+ point win, -12.5 requires 13+ point win, -13.5 requires 14+ point win for Tigers). Totals resolve based on combined score crossing thresholds (143.5, 144.5, 145.5). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled. Key Quote: 'If the Texas Southern Tigers win, the market will resolve to Texas Southern Tigers.'
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Texas Southern wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Mississippi Valley St. wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically contradictory and unresolvable. No spread or total markets provided for comparison. Key Quote: 'If Texas Southern wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi Valley St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.