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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians?

Volume:
$3,175,214

Texas

 - Kalshi

Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 9:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,285,028
N/A
N/A
$522,765
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,040
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001,995
N/A
N/A
$561,005
Settled
No
polymarket

Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$818,182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,467
$2,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an MLB matchup between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows the Rangers at 75.0% to win. Resolution will be determined by official MLB scores. Note that platforms currently show conflicting scheduled dates for this game, so confirm the actual game time before placing positions, as the resolution date estimate of July 8, 2026 may not align with when the matchup actually occurs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled game date and time conflict across platforms (June 29 vs July 1; 7:10 PM vs 1:10 PM). Additionally, Kalshi's resolution logic is a tautology that always resolves Yes unless the game is canceled, creating fundamental asymmetry in market design.Hero tip: Treat these as potentially separate markets until the official MLB schedule is confirmed. The date mismatch is a data integrity failure that prevents unified settlement. Do not assume these markets reference the same game instance.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Game scheduled July 1 at 1:10 PM ET. Winner-take-all resolution to Rangers or Guardians. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Game originally scheduled June 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Market resolves Yes if Cleveland wins OR if Texas wins (tautological logic). No explicit guidance on cancellation, postponement, or tie handling. This design flaw means the market always resolves Yes unless the game is canceled.
  • Predict: Game scheduled June 29 at 7:10 PM ET. Winner-take-all resolution to Rangers or Guardians. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 1 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event covers the Texas vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Resolution is determined by the final outcome of the game, with separate markets for each team's victory. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 29 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-time trader consensus rather than sportsbook pricing models. While sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract margin, this market lets thousands of independent traders price outcomes directly. Prediction markets often react faster to breaking news and sharp information, sometimes moving ahead of traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional oddsmaking expertise and tighter liquidity controls, so neither source is universally more accurate—comparing both gives you the fullest picture of true probability.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can push prices apart even on identical outcomes. Predict and Polymarket may also enforce different market rules, dispute resolution timelines, or position limits, causing traders to price in platform-specific risk premiums. Temporary liquidity imbalances on one venue can also widen spreads faster than on the other, creating brief windows where the same outcome trades at different odds across the two platforms.

Key catalysts include injury reports, lineup announcements, and weather conditions affecting play. Betting action and sharp money flowing into one side can shift odds quickly as game time nears. Live performance during the matchup—early runs, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive intraday repricing if in-game markets are active. Media coverage highlighting team form, head-to-head records, or recent trades can also influence trader positioning before the first pitch.