TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox

Volume:
$2,401,545

Boston

 - Kalshi

Boston - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 10:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$639,815
N/A
N/A
$408,761
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$33,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$11,789
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$3,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,179,469
N/A
N/A
$714,859
Settled
No
polymarket

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox

N/A
N/A
—
$527
$757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 11.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether the first five innings of the Texas Rangers versus Boston Red Sox game on June 12, 2026 will produce over or under 2.5 total runs. Across Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by official MLB records. Watch for the game's start time at 7:10 PM ET on June 12, 2026, as first-inning scoring patterns often set the tone for early-inning run totals.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Texas winning and Boston winning are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket and Predict are internally consistent but diverge from Kalshi on fundamental resolution logic.Hero tip: The Kalshi market is unresolvable as written and should be flagged for clarification before trading. Polymarket and Predict markets are safe to trade and follow identical logic. For first-inning markets, only Polymarket provides explicit rules; treat as standard binary Yes/No on run scoring.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market: resolves to Texas Rangers if Rangers win, Boston Red Sox if Red Sox win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie/no makeup resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, credible reporting as fallback. Also offers first-inning run market with Yes/No binary logic.
  • Predict: Identical to Polymarket: resolves to Texas Rangers if Rangers win, Boston Red Sox if Red Sox win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie/no makeup resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, credible reporting as fallback.
  • Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: States 'If Texas wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Boston wins... resolves to Yes'. No explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, or tie. This creates a logical impossibility where any outcome resolves to Yes, making the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 12 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Texas or Boston wins the professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 12 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Key catalysts for the Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox market include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, late-inning injuries, weather updates, and recent team form. Trades or roster moves in the days before the game can shift offensive and defensive expectations. Real-time in-game events—such as early runs, errors, or unexpected substitutions—will trigger sharp repricing on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Monitor team news feeds and betting-market activity to stay ahead of probability swings and identify when consensus shifts.