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400,720

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2,633

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Texas A&M vs. LSU
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Texas A&M vs LSU?

Volume:
$9,168,053

LSU

 - Kalshi

LSU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 11:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

LSU

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,520,843
N/A
N/A
$1,752,035
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$427,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$149,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66,588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -24.5

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 38.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -5.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

LSU O/U 30.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -4.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 40.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$522
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 218

Intro

This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the Texas A&M versus LSU college football game. Currently, the consensus probability that Texas A&M vs. LSU: Total 4th Down Conversions will be Over 0.5 is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by data reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the outcome of the contest will directly influence the final 4th down conversion count.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a redundant 'either team wins' market, while Polymarket provides standard winner-take-all and spread/total markets.Hero tip: Prioritize trading Polymarket markets as they offer more informative and tradable outcomes. Avoid the Kalshi market, as it's effectively a guaranteed resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Texas A&M or LSU wins the game. This is a binary outcome with no predictive value. "If LSU wins the Texas A&M vs LSU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M wins the Texas A&M vs LSU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Texas A&M or LSU) or a 50-50 split in the event of a tie. Offers a variety of spread and total markets. "This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Texas A&M and LSU, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the Texas A&M vs LSU college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the original schedule, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges. Generally, prediction markets are considered to be highly efficient forecasts, often outperforming traditional methods. However, sportsbook odds can still be valuable for comparison and identifying potential discrepancies in the market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform may vary significantly, leading to differing levels of liquidity and price impact. The specific markets offered on each platform might also be slightly different, focusing on different aspects of the Texas A&M vs. LSU game. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.