TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the England vs Pakistan Test cricket match scheduled for September 9, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of England winning is 99.9%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The second most likely outcome is a draw, with a 0.5% probability. Resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Keep an eye on the start of the match on September 9, 2026, as this will initiate the betting period and signal the beginning of the resolution window.
This market refers to the cricket match between England and Pakistan scheduled for September 9 2026 in Test Series England vs Pakistan. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The event resolves based on the official result of the England vs Pakistan men’s professional Test series cricket match scheduled for September 9, 2026. If England wins, the England market resolves to Yes; if Pakistan wins, the Pakistan market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a draw or tie, the Draw/Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled before commencement or abandoned before the toss occurs, all markets resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed by more than five days from its original start time before beginning, all markets also resolve to a fair price. However, if the match is abandoned after the toss has taken place, all markets will resolve according to the official result declared by the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity – reflected in the 24-hour volume of $927,425 – can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the platforms may attract different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the England vs Pakistan Test Series. These factors combine to create independent price signals on each platform, even though they are tracking the same underlying event.