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402,751

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2,632

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5

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VS.

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Test Match: Sri Lanka vs India
kalshi
polymarket

Test Match: Sri Lanka vs India

Volume:
$6,639,740

India

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 4:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

India

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,929,337
N/A
N/A
$675,023
Settled
Yes
polymarket

India

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$62,189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sri Lanka

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,405,486
N/A
N/A
$1,363,296
Settled
No
polymarket

Sri Lanka

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/Tie

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,104,928
N/A
N/A
$555,069
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether India will win the men's professional Test cricket match against Sri Lanka scheduled for August 15, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for India winning stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics from the International Cricket Council or the respective cricket boards. The final outcome will be confirmed by August 22, 2026, following the official match conclusion and declaration.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on using the official match result from the governing body, with specific handling for draws, ties, and abandoned matches.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the International Cricket Council (ICC) or the respective cricket boards (e.g., Sri Lanka Cricket and BCCI)

Core resolution logic:

  • A win by Sri Lanka or India will resolve markets accordingly
  • A draw or tie (including tiebreakers) will resolve as draw
  • Abandoned, canceled, or incomplete matches will resolve as draw

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie with Tiebreaker: If the match ends tied and a tiebreaker (e.g., Super Over) is used, the winner of the tiebreaker determines the result
  • Abandoned Match: If the match is abandoned or canceled before a result is reached, it resolves as a draw
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official declaration of the match result by the governing body, typically within 2 hours of the match conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Sri Lanka and India scheduled for August 15 2026 in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated men's professional Test series cricket match. If the match ends in a draw or tie, the Draw/Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled prior to commencement or abandoned prior to the toss with no official result declared, all markets resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed for more than 5 days from its original start time before commencement, all markets resolve to a fair market price. If the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, markets resolve based on the official result recorded by the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Sri Lanka vs India Test match aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each possible result. It displays current probabilities, volume of $6,639,740, and 24-hour volume of $2,554,412 across venues, giving you a consensus view of market sentiment toward this contest.

Key signals include injury updates to star players, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and tactical decisions by team captains that influence match momentum. Each session’s performance can shift trader sentiment, as can any last-minute changes in the playing XI. These developments may cause rapid adjustments in odds before the final verdict.