TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Test Match: Australia vs Bangladesh
polymarket
kalshi

Test Match: Australia vs Bangladesh

Volume:
$3,320,550

Australia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 1:21 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Australia

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$694,960
N/A
N/A
$629,711
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Australia

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bangladesh

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,197,268
N/A
N/A
$1,641,999
Settled
No
polymarket

Bangladesh

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/Tie

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$290,098
N/A
N/A
$274,465
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Australia will win the Test Match against Bangladesh scheduled for August 21, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Australia winning stands at 100.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official match results from ESPNcricinfo. The final outcome will be determined by the match result as officially declared by cricket governing bodies. Keep an eye on the match schedule as the event window closes on August 28, 2026, which will trigger the resolution process according to the market rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence - Polymarket uses three separate outcome markets while Kalshi uses a single all-encompassing marketHero tip: Avoid Kalshi for directional bets as it resolves Yes regardless of actual match outcome. Use Polymarket for precise outcome betting.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Australia win? Will match end in draw? Will Bangladesh win? Resolves based on official match result with specific tie/draw rules
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if Australia wins OR Bangladesh wins OR match ends in draw/tie. Will always resolve to Yes unless match is permanently canceled without a result
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Australia and Bangladesh scheduled for August 21 2026 in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Australia vs Bangladesh men's professional Test series cricket match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If Australia wins, the market for Australia resolves to Yes; if Bangladesh wins, the market for Bangladesh resolves to Yes; if the match ends in a draw or tie, the Draw/Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled prior to commencement or abandoned before the toss with no official result, all markets resolve to a fair price. If the match is delayed beyond five days from the original start time before commencement, all markets resolve to a fair price. If the match is abandoned after the toss, markets resolve based on the official result recorded by the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time data from multiple venues for the Australia vs Bangladesh Test match, showing how traders price the likelihood of each possible result. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $3,320,550, and 24-hour volume of $847,869 across platforms, offering a consensus view of market sentiment toward this market.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include major player injuries, changes in team strategy or lineups, weather conditions affecting playability, and shifts in recent form or performance metrics. Updates from team announcements or expert commentary may also influence trader sentiment and move this market closer to resolution.