TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on how decisively either team wins during the final quarter of a scheduled football game. Each outcome depends solely on the point differential achieved in that specific period, ignoring any points from earlier quarters or overtime.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point difference between Tennessee and San Francisco during the 4th quarter of their scheduled game on August 13, 2026, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a different threshold for the point differential required for a 'Yes' resolution, ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 10.5 points. If San Francisco meets or exceeds the specified differential in its favor during the 4th quarter, the corresponding 'San Francisco wins by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, if Tennessee achieves the required differential in its favor, the relevant 'Tennessee wins by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes.' Markets resolve to 'No' if the actual differential does not exceed the specified threshold for that market, regardless of which team wins the quarter. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves based solely on its own criteria without affecting others.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment, driven by trader activity rather than set benchmarks. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on broader public betting trends, this market prices in real-time based on the flow of capital from informed participants, potentially offering sharper or more nuanced insights.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread difference will be calculated and verified against official game records, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution for all participants.
Injuries to key players, strategic changes by coaches, or shifting weather conditions could all influence this market as the game approaches. Additionally, any significant momentum shifts or standout performances in earlier quarters may impact trader sentiment and drive volatility in the final quarter spread market leading up to Aug 14, 2026.