TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Tennessee or San Francisco specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter.
These markets evaluate how decisively either Tennessee or San Francisco wins the third quarter of their scheduled game on August 13, 2026. Each rule specifies a different point-spread threshold that must be surpassed by the winning team during that quarter alone. For San Francisco to win via these markets, they must outscore Tennessee by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points in the third quarter. Conversely, Tennessee must outscore San Francisco by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points in that same quarter. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, meaning earlier or later quarters have no impact on resolution. All markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a distinct level of victory margin.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants regarding which team is likely to win the point spread in the third quarter, adjusting continuously with new bets and information.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game results will determine whether Tennessee or San Francisco covers the third quarter spread, closing the market based on the recorded point differential for that specific period.
Injuries, weather conditions, or key performances leading up to the game could shift expectations for the third quarter and move this market. Traders will react to any news affecting either team's likely scoring ability or defensive strength in that period, as well as broader betting trends on Kalshi as the event nears.