TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 10:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Tennessee or San Francisco specifically within the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets evaluate how decisively either Tennessee or San Francisco wins the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each rule specifies a different point-spread threshold that must be surpassed by the winning team during that quarter. For markets where San Francisco is the favorite, resolution depends on whether they outscore Tennessee by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points in the second quarter. Conversely, markets favoring Tennessee resolve positively if they outscore San Francisco by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points in that quarter. All outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the second quarter, with no consideration given to the overall game result or points from other quarters. The markets are independent, each corresponding to a specific spread threshold, allowing for varied betting opportunities on the quarter's scoring dynamics.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights because they aggregate trader sentiment rather than set odds in advance. While sportsbooks may post a static spread, this market lets participants bet directly on the quarter-specific margin, often revealing nuances that broader lines obscure. Traders watch both sources for divergence, but this market’s pricing is driven purely by participant activity on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to set the spread odds. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate of all active bets, with liquidity indicated by volume of $12,354. Traders can also see the implied probability—expressed as a percentage—of each possible spread range, updated instantly as new trades execute.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will determine the point differential for the second quarter, and this market will close accordingly. Traders should ensure they understand the timing, as the resolution follows the conclusion of the game’s second quarter scoring.
Injuries, weather updates, and quarterback performance ahead of the game can shift expectations for second-quarter scoring and move this market. Key practices, coaching strategies, and any last-minute roster changes may also influence trader sentiment. As the start time nears, betting volume often spikes, causing rapid price adjustments based on real-time news and analysis on Kalshi.