TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in a football game between Tennessee and New York G. Each market focuses on whether a named player reaches a certain reception threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receptions recorded by specified players in the Tennessee vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the named player records the minimum number of receptions stated in the market title (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A player must take at least one snap for the market to be settled based on actual performance. If the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Penalties that nullify a snap do not affect the resolution, as long as the snap was taken. The markets are independent, each corresponding to a different reception threshold for the specified player.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price essentially represents the cost to insure against a specific reception total, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final result. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception total for both Tennessee and New York will be sourced from official game statistics. Once these statistics are finalized and publicly available, the market will settle based on which reception total contracts were closest to the actual result. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual performance of the teams in the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either team would be a major catalyst, potentially shifting expectations for reception totals. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence passing games and therefore reception numbers. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding offensive strategies or player usage could also move the market. Finally, any news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could affect player performance and, consequently, the price action in this market.