TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing distance beyond a set threshold during a football game between Tennessee and New York G on September 27, 2026. Each market focuses on a different player and their performance in terms of longest rush yardage. The outcome depends on whether the player's longest run exceeds the predetermined yardage mark.
The event evaluates multiple player-specific markets within the same football game, each centered on whether a designated player records a longest rush exceeding a specified yardage threshold. For each market, if the named player achieves a rush longer than the set threshold during the game, that particular market resolves to Yes. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once the player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution is based on the actual longest rush recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each player market, with each having its own threshold for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular player is more likely to have the longest rush than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information is publicly available, as this market can incorporate information faster than traditional sources.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest recorded rush during the Tennessee versus New York game will be declared the winner. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the longest rush, and the resolution will be based on data from official sources. Traders will be able to see the final result and the settlement of their contracts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing yardage and shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or player matchups could lead to adjustments in the odds. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in this market.