TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific professional football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by the named quarterback in the specified game. If the quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets tied to passing completion thresholds for both Jameis Winston and Cam Ward.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, game-day updates, and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time estimate of the expected number of passing completions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the Tennessee vs New York passing market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to the quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected number of passing attempts. Game-day reports on team strategies or adjustments to the game plan could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information about team preparation or player performance could also impact the price of contracts in this market.