TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many times specific quarterbacks attempt to pass the ball during a football game between Tennessee and New York. Each market focuses on a different threshold of pass attempts for either Jameis Winston or Cam Ward. The outcomes depend purely on the actual number of passing attempts each quarterback makes during the game.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing attempts recorded by the named quarterback—Jameis Winston or Cam Ward—during the Tennessee vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 26+, 31+, etc.), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds vary between quarterbacks, allowing for distinct resolution criteria for each player’s performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, as this market aggregates diverse perspectives on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing attempt totals, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent the collective belief about the final passing attempts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a higher passing attempt total is likely, they’ll buy those contracts, driving up the price. Conversely, selling pressure on a particular outcome will lower its price.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing attempts total from the Tennessee versus New York game will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to the value that corresponds to the actual total passing attempts recorded during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team – including injuries or changes in playing status – would likely cause movement. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could influence play-calling and the number of passing attempts. Unexpected strategic shifts announced by either coaching staff could also affect the market. Finally, late-breaking news regarding key offensive players, such as wide receivers, could also cause the market to adjust as traders reassess the likely game script and passing volume.