TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for the New York Giants in an upcoming football game against Tennessee. Each market is tied to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or unit scores the first touchdown for the New York Giants in the designated game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a snap is taken—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether that participant scores the first touchdown. If no New York Giants touchdowns occur in the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all participant markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each potential scorer.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by trader sentiment. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first New York Giants touchdown will occur. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, following the conclusion of the Tennessee versus New York Giants game. The outcome will be determined by identifying the first team to score a touchdown in the game, as verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 if the New York Giants score the first touchdown, and 0 if another team scores first. The resolution process relies on publicly available game data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team, particularly the Giants' offensive players, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, as inclement weather can affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, and even public sentiment expressed through polls or media coverage, could all contribute to shifts in trader behavior on Kalshi and influence the price of the first New York Giants touchdown.