TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the interplay between the first half and full game outcomes in a specific football match. Each market requires both the first half result and the final game result to match predefined conditions for resolution. The outcomes span various possible combinations of winners or ties in both segments of the game.
The markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the specified football match. For a market to resolve to 'Yes,' both the first half and full game results must exactly match the conditions outlined in the respective market outcome labels. If either the first half or full game result does not align with the specified condition, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome-specific markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and dynamically adjust to new information. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, especially before significant volume accumulates in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the most informed estimate. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of its corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tennessee vs New York game, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result as determined by the governing sports league. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Furthermore, real-time performance during the game itself, such as early scoring drives or key defensive stops, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete events. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities before this market resolves.