TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of receiving touchdowns for either team, determining whether they meet or exceed that number during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team in the Tennessee vs Georgia Tech college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is counted only when a player catches a forward pass and scores, with specific provisions for fumble recoveries: if a receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores, it counts; however, if another player recovers a fumble by the receiving player and scores, it does not count. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, but this market allows anyone to trade and express their opinion, potentially leading to a more refined probability assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each source interprets the available data. It’s common to see this market adjust quickly to new information or changing perceptions about the game, whereas sportsbook odds may be slower to react.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether each team will receive touchdowns. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price of that outcome increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract represents the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the potential for touchdowns in the Tennessee vs Georgia Tech game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether each team is officially credited with scoring a touchdown during the game, as recorded by official game statistics. The determination will rely on widely accepted sources for sports scores and game results. The market will settle to 100 if both teams score touchdowns, or to 0 if neither team scores a touchdown, with intermediate values reflecting partial outcomes if only one team scores.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Tennessee or Georgia Tech teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also affect the perceived likelihood of touchdowns. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts, especially if it highlights a team's offensive or defensive strengths, could sway market sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by social media or betting trends, could also move this market.