TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory in the final quarter of a college football game between Tennessee and Georgia Tech. Each outcome represents a different point differential threshold that must be met or exceeded by the winning team in the fourth quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins that quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or biases. It’s common to see this market move in response to news or events that impact perceived probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy contracts at a lower price and ask to sell contracts at a higher price. The current price reflects the market’s expectation of the probability of the spread falling within a certain range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The price of a contract represents the payout you would receive if the outcome aligns with that specific spread at the end of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fourth-quarter spread of the Tennessee vs Georgia Tech game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The final point spread will be compared to the contracts offered on Kalshi to determine payouts to contract holders. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verified information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi to reassess their positions and adjust the spread.