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Closed: Sep 12, 8:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Tennessee or Georgia Tech specifically within the second quarter of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Tennessee and Georgia Tech exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For markets where Tennessee is the projected winner, resolution occurs if Tennessee's second-quarter points exceed those of Georgia Tech by more than the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). Conversely, markets predicting a Georgia Tech victory resolve if Georgia Tech outscores Tennessee by more than the designated margin (also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points) in the same quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result of that specific quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome beyond the specified conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, so comparing them to the probabilities implied by this market can be a useful strategy for informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter of the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in various outcomes, offering a dynamic view of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second quarter spread of the Tennessee vs Georgia Tech game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts on Kalshi will be settled accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Georgia Tech teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence the perceived probabilities. Public opinion and betting trends observed elsewhere may also contribute to shifts in this market.