TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Tennessee or Georgia Tech in the first half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the first half to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Tennessee vs Georgia Tech college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For markets where Tennessee is the potential winner, resolution occurs if Tennessee's first-half point differential exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points). Conversely, markets for Georgia Tech resolve if Georgia Tech's first-half point differential exceeds its specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 14.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring in the first half of the game, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the game’s likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread difference between Tennessee and Georgia Tech at halftime will be compared to the contract spreads offered on Kalshi to determine winning contracts. Resolution is based on official game statistics and will be determined by the platform following the conclusion of the first half. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Tennessee or Georgia Tech would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or internal issues could shift traders’ perceptions and cause the price to fluctuate. Public sentiment and betting trends in sportsbooks may also indirectly influence this market.