TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first half of a professional football game between two teams. Each market specifies a different point differential threshold that determines whether a particular outcome is considered a win for one team over the other in the first half.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the New York Giants and the Tennessee Titans during the first half of their scheduled game on September 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's lead exceeds the stated point margin by at least one point. Only points scored in the first half are considered; any points from the second half are irrelevant. The markets cover a range of differentials from 1.5 to 13.5 points, offering various thresholds for both teams winning the half by the required margin. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific threshold for resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Titans-Giants first half spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately forecasts the outcome of the event, based on the aggregated knowledge of all participants. The current volume indicates the level of confidence traders have in various outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread for the first half of the Titans-Giants game will be determined by official game statistics. The market will then settle to reflect whether the Giants covered the spread, the Titans covered the spread, or if the result was a push. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Titans or the Giants would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to fluctuations in the market for the Titans-Giants first half spread.