TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Argentine Nacional B soccer match between Temperley and Salta, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins and by how many goals.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Temperley vs Salta professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for August 2, 2026. Resolution is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Temperley wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the event resolves positively for Temperley’s larger victory margins. Conversely, if Salta wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the event resolves positively for Salta’s larger victory margins. All outcomes are assessed independently, and Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader activity and the ability to price in nuanced outcomes. While sportsbooks may offer a static spread line, prediction markets let participants bet on precise goal-differential ranges, sometimes capturing sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent team performance and public sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible score margins. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about which side is more likely to cover the spread. Liquidity levels and recent trade volumes also help determine how tightly packed the odds are across outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine which contract — representing the correct spread range — settles in value, and all other contracts will expire worthless. Timing depends on when official match reports are published post-game.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions affecting the match could shift trader sentiment and move prices in this market. Additionally, any significant betting activity on Kalshi — especially large trades — may cause price adjustments as participants react to new information or try to exploit perceived mispricings before the game kicks off.