TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
- Kalshi
Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 31, 2026
Closed: Aug 29, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which movie garners the highest attention on a specific entertainment ranking website for a particular date. The outcome depends entirely on where each film stands in the popularity rankings on that day.
Kalshi
If The Rocky Horror Picture Show is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Spider-Man: Brand New Day is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Odyssey is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Dog Stars is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Steel Magnolias is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Obsession is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leave the World Behind is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If xXx: State of the Union is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If xXx is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Home Alone 2: Lost in New York is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clue is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Buddy is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Coyote vs. Acme is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Motor City is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Last Sunrise is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Avengers: Endgame is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If The End of Oak Street is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Uprising is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Addams Family Reunion is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, with prices adjusting to balance buy and sell orders. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of all participants, factoring in everything from early reviews to production news. Volume of $28,871 shows the level of interest and liquidity supporting price discovery.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by which film is officially ranked #1 for the specified week, based on widely accepted attention or box office metrics. No further interpretation is needed beyond authoritative public data.
Key signals that could shift this market include early audience reviews, major marketing releases, cast or director announcements, and any unexpected events like production delays or controversies. As the release date approaches, real-time polling data, social media trends, and pre-weekend box office estimates often cause significant price swings, reflecting evolving public anticipation.
