TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
The Bachelor
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The Bachelor - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 31, 2026
Closed: Aug 29, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which ABC television show garners the highest attention score on a specific date, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity. The outcome depends entirely on real-time audience metrics recorded by Television Stats for August 29, 2026.
Kalshi
The event determines whether any single ABC show achieves the top rank on Television Stats’ 'Top ABC Shows Today' list for August 29, 2026, based on attention score. Each market corresponds to a specific show, and if that show is ranked #1 for the specified date, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, with each show’s ranking evaluated against the same metric. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with ABC or Television Stats, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, this market implies a very low probability for any ABC show to finish first, which contrasts sharply with many media analysts who often predict stronger performance for network programming in prime time. Analysts typically consider factors like summer ratings trends, promotional budgets, and historical performance, while traders are pricing in a range of scenarios including potential schedule changes or unexpected competition.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of each outcome. The current implied chance for the top-ranked show to win reflects collective trader judgment, adjusted continuously by supply and demand. Volume of $24,164 shows the total activity across all possible outcomes on this venue.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will be determined by official ABC viewership statistics for that date, and the contract representing the actual #1 show will settle in accordance with those figures.
Key signals that could shift prices include early summer ratings data for ABC programming, major casting or scheduling announcements, and competitive moves by other networks that might affect audience share. Any surprise changes to ABC’s prime-time lineup or high-profile special events could also cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their expectations about which show might finish first.
