TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second map in an upcoming professional Valorant match between Team Vitality and Global Esports. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory on that specific map. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific guidelines for handling postponements, cancellations, or forfeitures.
The market resolves based on the result of Map 2 in the VCT Champions 2026 match between Team Vitality and Global Esports, scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Team Vitality wins the map, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Global Esports wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Kalshi to reflect that, potentially creating an arbitrage opportunity. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and the probability of that outcome appearing likely also increases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, also provides insight into the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Team Vitality versus Global Esports CS2 match. The winning team of Map 2 will determine the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure an accurate and fair resolution for all participants. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Vitality or Global Esports could shift the odds. Major upsets in other CS2 tournaments could also impact perceptions of team strength. In-game performance during Map 1 of the series could also be a significant signal, as it provides insight into each team's current form and tactical approach. Significant volume spikes on Kalshi are also a key indicator of changing sentiment.