TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 10:36 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 teams, Team Syntax and Ilbirs eSports, compete in a best-of-three series on August 7, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory in the second map of their match, with each team having an equal chance to win based on their performance.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 2 in the EPL Masters 2026 match between Team Syntax and Ilbirs eSports, scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If either team wins map 2, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome published by the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets rely purely on crowd-sourced forecasting. This can lead to divergence, especially when sharp traders identify mispricings or new information emerges. For this market, the probability may shift more dynamically than sportsbook odds as the match approaches, offering a different perspective on expected outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, odds are set through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The current top outcome’s implied chance reflects the aggregate view of all active traders. Volume of $28,233 indicates liquidity levels, while recent 24-hour volume of $25,794 shows how actively the market has traded. Prices adjust in real time based on new information, such as player injuries or strategic shifts observed in early map action.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match records, and the platform will finalize the market based on those authoritative sources at that time.
Several key developments could impact this market before Aug 7, 2026. Performance metrics from Map 1, such as team strategies, player form, and in-game adjustments, will heavily influence expectations for Map 2. Injuries, lineup changes, or tactical innovations revealed in pre-match analyses may also shift probabilities. Additionally, broader narrative elements like crowd momentum or sponsor pressures could affect trader sentiment. Any surprise announcements or last-minute roster updates would likely cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as the community reassesses probabilities.